The No. 23-ranked Liberty Flames will look to close out a perfect season when they take on the eighth-ranked Oregon Ducks in a New Year's Day 2024 Fiesta Bowl matchup in Glendale, Ariz. The Flames (13-0, 8-0 Conference USA) have scored 40 or more points in seven games, including a season-high 56 in a Nov. 4 win over Louisiana Tech. The Ducks (11-2, 8-1 Pac-12), who are coming off a 34-31 loss to fourth-ranked Washington in the Pac-12 Championship Game, have surpassed 40 points six times, including an 81-7 win over Portland State on Sept. 2. This will be the first-ever meeting between the teams.

The game will kick off at 1 p.m. ET from State Farm Stadium. Liberty is averaging 302.9 rushing yards per game, best in the country, while Oregon averages 342.8 passing yards per game, second overall. The Ducks are favored by 18 points in the latest Liberty vs. Oregon odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is up to 70 after opening at 63.5. Before making any Oregon vs. Liberty picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. The model enters bowl season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oregon vs. Liberty and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Liberty vs. Oregon:

  • Oregon vs. Liberty spread: Oregon -18
  • Oregon vs. Liberty over/under: 70 points
  • Oregon vs. Liberty money line: Oregon -931, Liberty +606
  • LIB: The Flames have won 13 straight games 
  • ORE: The Ducks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games
  • Oregon vs. Liberty picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Oregon vs. Liberty live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Oregon can cover

Senior quarterback Bo Nix will play his final game in a Ducks uniform, capping one of the greatest seasons in program history. The winner of the William V. Campbell Trophy as the nation's top scholar athlete and the third-place finisher in the Heisman Trophy race, Nix has been one of the truly elite players in the nation this season. He leads the country by completing 77.2% of his passes, with a chance to break Mac Jones' NCAA single-season record of 77.4%. 

Nix is tied for the FBS lead with 40 touchdown passes, while ranking second in total touchdowns (46), second in passing yards per game (318.8), second in completions (336), second in passer rating (186.24), third in total yards per game (336.4) and third in total yards per play (8.96). Top receiver Troy Franklin has opted out, but Nix will still have second-leading receiver Tez Johnson (75-1010-9) and leading rusher Bucky Irving (172-1063-10). See which team to pick here.

Why Liberty can cover

Junior wide receiver CJ Daniels leads the Flames in receptions with 47 for 988 yards (21.0 average) and 10 touchdowns. The fourth-year veteran has five games with 100 or more receiving yards, including a seven-catch, 157-yard and one touchdown performance in the 49-35 win over New Mexico State in the Conference USA Championship Game. He caught five passes for 157 yards and a score in a 21-16 win over Sam Houston on Oct. 5. For his career, Daniels has 98 catches for 1,875 yards (19.1 average) and 21 touchdowns.

Defensively, the Flames are led by senior linebacker Tyren Dupree. The sixth-year veteran has a team-high 115 tackles, including 61 solo, with one fumble recovery. He has posted 2.5 sacks for eight yards with three pass breakups and two interceptions. In the CUSA title game, he registered eight tackles, including three solo. For his career, Dupree has made 250 tackles, including 136 solo, with 8.5 sacks, four forced fumbles, three pass breakups and two interceptions. See which team to pick here.

How to make Liberty vs. Oregon picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Oregon vs. Liberty, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Liberty vs. Oregon spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.