Denny McCarthy looks to notch his first career PGA Tour victory when the 2023 John Deere Classic opens play on Thursday at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. McCarthy is the 14-1 betting favorite in a wide open 2023 John Deere Classic field. Other top contenders in the latest John Deere Classic odds from Caesars Sportsbook include Russell Henley (16-1), Cameron Young (16-1), Ludvig Aberg (22-1), and Adam Hadwin (22-1).

Which 2023 John Deere Classic head-to-head matchup picks should you target, and what 2023 John Deere Classic prop bets could set you up for a strong payday? Before locking in any John Deere Classic 2023 picks of your own, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure.

We simulated the 2023 John Deere Classic 10,000 times, and there are some major surprises. 

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $10,200 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 John Deere Classic field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 John Deere Classic prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups and best bets.

Top 2023 John Deere Classic prop picks

One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the John Deere Classic 2023 is Emiliano Grillo finishing in the top 20 of the final leaderboard at +185 odds (risk $100 to win $185). Grillo is coming off a 15th place finish against an elite field at the Travelers Championship, and notched a win at the Charles Schwab Challenge in May. The 30-year-old Argentinian owns two career PGA Tour wins, and is easily one of the most accomplished golfers in the John Deere Classic field.

Grillo enters the week at No. 42 in the Official World Golf Ranking, but still ranks well in multiple statistical categories. He ranks 35th on the PGA Tour in total driving, 41st in strokes gained on approach (0.363), and 49th in strokes gained tee-to-green (0.449). In a wide open John Deere Classic field, McClure still sees plenty of value in taking Grillo to finish in the top-20 on the final leaderboard for a plus-money payout. You can see the rest of McClure's 2023 John Deere Classic prop bet picks at SportsLine.

Find more 2023 John Deere Classic head-to-head picks, sleepers, props

McClure has also locked in plenty of other prop bets for the the John Deere Classic 2023, including a longshot listed at 35-1 to win it all. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 John Deere Classic sleepers could hit it big. You can only see his 2023 John Deere Classic best bets at SportsLine.

So what 2023 John Deere Classic prop picks should you target this week, and which massive longshot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 John Deere Classic best bets, all from the expert who's up over $10,200 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out.

2023 John Deere Classic odds, field, top contenders

See the full John Deere Classic 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Denny McCarthy +1400
Russell Henley +1600
Cameron Young +1600
Ludvig Aberg +2200
Adam Hadwin +2200
Adam Schenk +2800
Taylor Moore +3000
Keith Mitchell +3000
Eric Cole +3000
Emiliano Grillo +3000
Seamus Power +3500
J.T. Poston +3500
Chris Kirk +3500
Taylor Montgomery +4000
Stephan Jaeger +4000
Patrick Rodgers +4000
Nick Taylor +4000
Byeong Hun An +4000
Alex Smalley +4000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4500
Matt Kuchar +5000
Sepp Straka +6000
K.H. Lee +5500
Beau Hossler +5500
Ryan Palmer +6000
Mark Hubbard +6000
Dylan Wu +6000
Doug Ghim +6000
Adam Svensson +6000
Peter Kuest +6500
Michael Kim +6500
Joseph Bramlett +6500
Chez Reavie +6500
Brendon Todd +6500
Lucas Glover +7000
Gordon Sargent +7000
Sam Stevens +7500
Callum Tarren +7500
Zach Johnson +8000
Will Gordon +8000
Patton Kizzire +8000
Luke List +8000
Carson Young +8000
Ben Martin +8000
Sam Ryder +9000
S.H. Kim +9000
Nick Hardy +9000
Kevin Yu +9000
Garrick Higgo +9000
Akshay Bhatia +9000
Nate Lashley +10000
MJ Daffue +10000
Kevin Streelman +10000
Greyson Sigg +10000
Chesson Hadley +10000
Michael Thorbjornsen +11000
Matt NeSmith +11000
Justin Lower +11000
David Lipsky +11000
Cameron Champ +11000
Joel Dahmen +13000
Davis Thompson +13000
Chad Ramey +13000